| 1,696 | 37 | 248 |
| 下载次数 | 被引频次 | 阅读次数 |
在考虑空间效应影响的前提下,分析了我国沿海省域旅游业发展与经济增长之间的关系。文章采用2008—2017年10年间中国沿海省份数据,通过莫兰指数探究了各省份间经济发展的空间相关性;并利用空间杜宾模型解释在地理区域上旅游业发展与经济增长之间的关系。结果表明,中国沿海省域经济发展在空间上存在正向溢出效应,旅游业发展对各省域的经济增长起到积极推动作用。
Abstract:The paper analyzes the relationship between the development of coastal tourism and economic growth in China on the premise of considering the effects of spatial effects.This paper uses the Moran index with the data of 11 coastal provinces in China during the 10 years from 2008 to 2017 to assess the spatial correlation of economic development among provinces;Then,the spatial Durbin model was used to explain the relationship between tourism development and economic development in the geographical area.The results show that there is a positive spillover effect in the economic development of China’s coastal provinces,and the development of tourism plays a positive role in promoting the economic growth of each province.
[1]中华人民共和国文化和旅游部.文化和旅游部:2018年全国实现旅游总收入5.97万亿[EB/OL].(2019-02-13).http://tv.cctv.com/2019/02/13/ARTIvkYHQylBgulRKauwB2UW190213.shtml.
[2]申葆嘉.关于旅游带动经济发展问题的思考[J].旅游学刊,2003(6):21-24.
[3]Abubakirova A,Syzdykova A,Kelesbayev D,et al.Place of tourism in the economy of Kazakhstan Republic[J].Procedia Economics and Finance,2016,39:3-6.
[4]Turkay B,Din?er F I,Dincer M Z.An evaluation of new values in economy and their impacts on future transformation in tourism[J].Procedia Computer Science,2019,158:1095-1102.
[5]Din B H,Habibullah M S,Baharom A H,et al.Are shadow economy and tourism related?International evidence[J].Procedia Economics and Finance,2016,35:173-178.
[6]张攀,杨进,周星.中国旅游业发展与区域经济增长——254个地级市的面板数据[J].经济管理,2014(6):116-126.
[7]衣传华.“锦上添花”还是“雪中送炭”:旅游发展对经济增长的影响[J].华东经济管理,2017(12):108-113.
[8]Guo Z N,Robinson D,Hite D.Economic impact of Mississippi and Alabama Gulf Coast tourism on the regional economy[J].Ocean & Coastal Management,2017,145:52-61.
[9]Dritsakis N.Tourism as a long-run economic growth factor:An empirical investigation for Greece using a causality analysis[J].Tourism Economics,2004,10(3):305-316.
[10]Forsyth P,Dwyer L,Spurr R,et al.The impacts of Australia’s departure tax:Tourism versus the economy?[J].Tourism Management,2014,40:126-136.
[11]Brida J G,Carrera E J S,Risso W A.Tourism’s impact on long-run Mexican economic growth[J].SSRN Electronic Journal,2008,3(21):1-8.
[12]Akkemik K A.Assessing the importance of international tourism for the Turkish economy:A social accounting matrix analysis[J].Tourism Management,2012,33(8):790-801.
[13]Tang C F.Is the tourism-led growth hypothesis valid for Malaysia?A view from disaggregated tourism markets[J].International Journal of Tourism Research,2011,13(1):97-101.
[14]Eugenio-Martin J L,Morales N M,Scarpa R.Tourism and economic growth in Latin American countries:A panel data approach[R].Canary Islands:University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria,2004.
[15]Cristian-Constantin D,Radu-Daniel P,Daniel P,et al.The role of SPA tourism in the development of local economies from Romania[J].Procedia Economics and Finance,2015,23:1573-1577.
[16]Fayissa B,Nsiah C,Tadesse B.Impact of tourism on economic growth and development in Africa[J].Tourism Economics,2008,14(4):807-818.
[17]Schubert S F,Brida J G,Risso W A.The impacts of international tourism demand on economic growth of small economies dependent on tourism[J].Tourism Management,2011,32(2):377-385.
[18]Soukiazis E,Proenca S.Tourism as an alternative source of regional growth in Portugal:A panel data analysis at NUTS Ⅱ and Ⅲ level[J].Portuguese Economic Journal,2008,7:43-61.
[19]Brida J G,Punzo L,Risso W A.Research note:Tourism as a factor of growth-the case of Brazil[J].Tourism Economic,2011,17(6):1375-1386.
[20]李航飞,唐承财,许树辉,等.基于空间计量模型的广东省区域旅游业发展与经济增长研究[J].中山大学学报(自然科学版),2012(5):127-131.
[21]刘法建,方叶林,李东和,等.省域旅游发展“资源诅咒”测度及其与区域经济的响应[J].华东经济管理,2015(11):66-70.
[22]陈晓静.欧盟旅游与经济增长关系研究——基于面板数据的实证分析[J].华东师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2015(3):102-109.
[23]余洁.山东省旅游产业与区域经济协调度评价与优化[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014(4):163-168.
[24]刘佳,张洪香.山东省旅游消费增长差异时空演化特征与影响因素[J].华东经济管理,2017(5):12-18.
[25]马兴超,马树才.旅游发展对城乡收入差距的影响效应与机制研究——基于浙江省52个县的面板数据分析[J].华东经济管理,2017(1):13-22.
[26]隋建利,刘碧莹.中国旅游发展与宏观经济增长的非线性时变因果关系——基于非线性马尔科夫区制转移因果模型[J].经济管理,2017(8):24-41.
[27]赵磊,方成,吴向明.旅游发展、空间溢出与经济增长——来自中国的经验证据[J].旅游学刊,2014(5):16-30.
[28]刘佳,王娟,奚一丹.中国旅游经济增长质量的空间格局演化[J].经济管理,2016(8):160-173.
[29]李秋雨,朱麟奇,刘继生.中国旅游业对经济增长贡献的差异性研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016(4):73-79.
[30]LeSage J,Pace R.Introduction to spatial econometrics[M].Boca Raton:CRC Press/ Taylor & Francis,2009:15-26.
[31]王守坤.空间计量模型中权重矩阵的类型与选择[J].经济数学,2013(3):57-63.
[32]Anseli L,Gallo J L,Jayet H.Spatial panel econometrics[J].Econometrics of Panel Data,2008(46):625-660.
[33]LeSage J,Pace R K.Introduction to spatial econometrics[M].Boca Raton:CRC Press Taylor & Francis Group,2009.
[34]姜磊.空间回归模型选择的反思[J].统计与信息论坛,2016(10):10-16.
[35]连玉君,王闻达,叶汝财.Hausman检验统计量有效性的Monte Carlo模拟分析[J].数理统计与管理,2014(5):830-841.
[36]曹飞.中国省域人口城镇化率影响因素的空间杜宾分析[J].统计与决策,2017(20):102-105.
[37]王彩萍,徐红罡,张萍.市场化改革、政府干预与区域旅游业发展:从宏观视角来解读困境[J].旅游学刊,2015(3):44-52.
[38]邓涛涛,王丹丹,吴丹.交通基础设施、空间溢出与制造业地理集聚——基于省级分行业面板数据分析[J].区域经济评论,2017(2):33-40.
基本信息:
中图分类号:F592.7;F127
引用信息:
[1]杨威,蔡礼彬.基于空间杜宾模型的旅游业发展与经济增长关系研究——以沿海省份面板数据为例[J].生态经济,2020,36(11):125-131.
2020-11-11
2020-11-11